Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 19.593343 22.118477 24.786962 27.811183 31.137383 34.678129 38.726188
2024-12-29 16.569278 20.142802 24.148429 28.948391 34.519875 40.758629 48.247340
2025-01-05 13.783958 17.959861 22.902793 29.132563 36.717431 45.592733 56.698779
2025-01-12 11.068737 15.442842 20.902655 28.123774 37.318117 48.521549 63.079607
2025-01-19 8.908925 13.290099 19.046829 27.017081 37.597584 50.978005 68.967669
2025-01-26 7.993026 12.637529 19.015311 28.193044 40.806048 57.249467 79.975049
2025-02-02 7.617065 12.671269 19.881700 30.605193 45.778799 66.067434 94.751013
2025-02-09 6.981904 12.227210 20.001843 31.946981 49.337321 73.165154 107.592066
2025-02-16 6.151456 11.362901 19.396745 32.154162 51.264152 78.089990 117.684293
2025-02-23 5.279124 10.304056 18.367964 31.606585 52.009037 81.341628 125.548799
2025-03-02 4.583085 9.437253 17.533826 31.252321 52.964840 84.880467 133.913017
2025-03-09 4.130203 8.929296 17.217598 31.661186 55.063764 90.135573 144.920896
2025-03-16 3.602395 8.224570 16.521266 31.430997 56.210146 94.124047 154.408420
2025-03-23 3.394332 8.101950 16.819520 32.875063 60.099657 102.439228 170.697144
2025-03-30 3.049392 7.654821 16.486885 33.203002 62.180892 108.055962 183.131371
2025-04-06 2.576892 6.864461 15.429297 32.156631 61.893143 109.924912 189.864467
2025-04-13 2.157962 6.114163 14.354919 30.969110 61.258399 111.168816 195.625045
2025-04-20 2.050455 6.057804 14.643094 32.321093 65.088689 119.790934 213.358671
2025-04-27 2.078900 6.330053 15.622904 35.047016 71.475313 132.848151 238.620974
2025-05-04 1.990683 6.301255 15.969344 36.565604 75.766354 142.572955 258.801433
2025-05-11 1.803461 5.989843 15.680629 36.808564 77.744836 148.478775 272.936466
2025-05-18 1.573773 5.523270 14.999250 36.202682 78.109129 151.633566 282.618082
2025-05-25 1.386755 5.136159 14.448848 35.810576 78.831343 155.403018 293.411618